BLOK ETF Quantitative Analysis, Blockchain Price Targets & Institutional Risk Framework by Manhattan Crypto Capital

Manhattan Crypto Capital BLOK

Investment Mandate & Quantitative R&D

Amplify Transformational Data Sharing ETF (NYSE Arca: BLOK)

Blockchain Infrastructure & Digital Asset Equity Framework

Quantitative Research Report | Manhattan Crypto Capital

Issue Date: May 18, 2026

Prepared By: Manhattan Crypto Capital Quantitative R&D Division

Time Horizon: 6–24 Months

Portfolio Classification: Digital Asset Infrastructure Equity Exposure

Volatility Classification: High

Executive Summary

BLOK currently represents one of the stronger institutional-quality blockchain infrastructure setups under the Manhattan Crypto Capital quantitative framework.

Unlike pure leveraged crypto vehicles, BLOK provides diversified exposure to:

• crypto infrastructure companies

• digital asset miners

• blockchain technology firms

• institutional crypto service providers

• digital finance infrastructure

The current structure reflects:

• constructive higher-low formation

• stabilization above macro support

• improving momentum recovery

• favorable institutional accumulation behavior

Within the MCC framework, BLOK is classified as:

• a strategic crypto infrastructure allocation

• a lower-fragility alternative to leveraged Bitcoin exposure

• a diversified blockchain equity participation vehicle

The chart currently suggests:

• accumulation continuation

• improving trend structure

• constructive volatility reset

• favorable asymmetric upside potential

MCC Quantitative Scoring Framework

Quantitative Factor	Score	Weight	Weighted Score
Trend Structure Quality	83	20%	16.6
Momentum Persistence	79	15%	11.9
Volatility Compression Setup	81	15%	12.1
Support Integrity	85	10%	8.5
Risk / Reward Asymmetry	87	15%	13.1
Volume & Participation	78	10%	7.8
Macro / Sector Strength	89	10%	8.9
Institutional Conviction	82	5%	4.1

Final MCC Quantitative Score

83.0 / 100

MCC Classification

Strong Accumulation Candidate

MCC Statistical Structure Analysis

Metric	Score
Breakout Probability	81/100
Convexity Potential	86/100
Downside Fragility	61/100
Momentum Continuation Probability	80/100
Volatility Expansion Potential	83/100
Institutional Support Strength	84/100

MCC Market Regime Classification

Current Market Regime

Institutional Blockchain Infrastructure Reaccumulation

The current structure reflects:

• healthy consolidation after expansion

• macro trend continuation

• support stabilization

• improving momentum behavior

The chart remains constructive while:

• price holds above the $51 support band

• higher lows continue forming

• blockchain infrastructure sentiment remains favorable

Compared to leveraged crypto ETFs, BLOK demonstrates:

• lower structural fragility

• stronger diversification

• more stable institutional sponsorship

Technical Structure Overview

Current Structure

BLOK currently reflects:

• long-term ascending structure integrity

• macro support defense

• momentum recovery behavior

• institutional participation stabilization

The recent correction appears statistically consistent with:

• normal trend digestion

  
  

  rather than:

• structural trend failure

The current consolidation zone increasingly resembles:

• reaccumulation

  
  

  ahead of:

• potential continuation expansion

Key Price Levels

Level	Price	Classification
Manhattan Crypto Capital Price Target	$111	Primary expansion target
Macro Resistance	$75	Major supply wall
Mid Resistance	$60	Trend pivot
Tactical Buy Zone (BZ1)	$51	Primary accumulation
Institutional Buy Zone (BZ2)	$43	Secondary accumulation
Deep Value Buy Zone (BZ3)	$36	Convexity support
Capitulation Support	$13	Extreme downside support
Current Price	~$60	Near trend pivot

Probability-Weighted Scenario Analysis

Scenario	Probability	Expected Outcome
Bear Case	20%	Retest accumulation zones
Base Case	55%	Recovery toward $75
Bull Case	25%	Expansion toward $111

Expected Value & Convexity Analysis

Category	Assessment
Expected Value Profile	Attractive
Upside Asymmetry	Strong
Volatility Risk	High
Structural Integrity	Strong
Liquidity Stability	Strong
Statistical Opportunity	Favorable

Manhattan Crypto Capital Investment Thesis

1. Institutional Blockchain Infrastructure Exposure

BLOK provides diversified exposure to:

• blockchain infrastructure

• digital asset adoption

• crypto financialization

• institutional crypto participation

• mining and blockchain technology ecosystems

This creates exposure to:

• digital asset expansion

  
  

  without:

• concentrated single-asset fragility

2. Lower Fragility Relative to Leveraged Crypto Vehicles

Compared to leveraged ETFs:

• BLOK demonstrates lower volatility decay

• stronger diversification

• reduced directional fragility

• more stable institutional participation

This materially improves:

• survivability

• portfolio utility

• long-term compounding potential

3. Constructive Momentum Recovery

The chart currently reflects:

• improving higher-low structure

• stabilization after correction

• constructive trend continuation behavior

Historically, similar structures frequently precede:

• institutional momentum rotation

• breakout continuation phases

• renewed blockchain sector leadership

MCC Structured Accumulation Plan

Tactical Buy Zone — BZ1

$51 Area

Allocation: 40%

Purpose:

• initial accumulation

• support participation

• momentum continuation entry

Institutional Buy Zone — BZ2

$43 Area

Allocation: 35%

Purpose:

• improved expected value

• institutional support accumulation

• volatility optimization

Deep Value Buy Zone — BZ3

$36 Area

Allocation: 25%

Purpose:

• panic volatility capture

• convexity maximization

• strategic long-duration positioning

Profit Rotation Strategy

Level	Action
$75	Trim 15–20%
$90	Rotate additional 25–35%
$111	Major distribution target

MCC portfolio discipline prioritizes:

• scaling into weakness

• reducing exposure into euphoric expansion

• preserving realized gains

• maintaining portfolio survivability

MCC Risk Management Framework

Full De-Risk Conditions

Exposure should be materially reduced if:

• price loses $36 structural support

• Bitcoin macro structure fails materially

• crypto liquidity conditions deteriorate aggressively

• institutional crypto flows weaken materially

BLOK should be viewed as:

• a strategic blockchain infrastructure allocation

  
  

  not:

• a short-term speculative trading vehicle

Portfolio Role Inside Manhattan Crypto Capital

BLOK serves as:

• diversified blockchain infrastructure exposure

• institutional crypto equity participation

• lower-fragility digital asset allocation

• strategic crypto ecosystem exposure

Within the MCC framework, BLOK complements:

• BTC exposure

• crypto infrastructure holdings

• AI infrastructure assets

• tactical high-beta crypto positions

MCC Final Committee Ratings

Metric	Score
Quantitative Structure	83/100
Momentum Persistence	80/100
Convexity Potential	86/100
Risk-Adjusted Opportunity	85/100
Institutional Quality	82/100
Volatility Risk	74/100
Final MCC Rating	84/100

Final MCC Recommendation

Status

ACCUMULATE STRATEGICALLY

Strategy

Layered DCA with Institutional Risk Controls

Primary Objective

Capture upside from institutional blockchain infrastructure expansion and digital asset adoption.

Secondary Objective

Maintain diversified crypto ecosystem exposure with lower fragility relative to leveraged vehicles.

BLOK currently represents one of the stronger institutional-quality blockchain infrastructure opportunities within the Manhattan Crypto Capital framework due to favorable structure quality, diversified exposure, improving momentum behavior, and strong risk-adjusted asymmetry.

CEO Commentary

BLOK Positioned as Institutional Blockchain Infrastructure Opportunity Under Manhattan Crypto Capital Quantitative Framework

“At Manhattan Crypto Capital, we prioritize opportunities where long-term structural adoption aligns with improving quantitative market behavior and disciplined institutional risk management. BLOK represents a compelling blockchain infrastructure allocation because it provides diversified exposure to the broader digital asset ecosystem while maintaining lower fragility relative to concentrated or leveraged crypto vehicles.

The current structure reflects constructive accumulation, improving momentum stabilization, and healthy consolidation following a major blockchain expansion cycle. From a portfolio construction perspective, diversified infrastructure exposure often provides superior survivability and more stable long-term compounding characteristics compared to highly concentrated speculative positioning.

Under the Manhattan Crypto Capital framework, BLOK serves as a strategic blockchain infrastructure allocation designed to participate in the continued institutionalization of digital assets, tokenization, blockchain finance, and crypto infrastructure expansion while maintaining disciplined risk-adjusted portfolio construction principles.”

Zaid Khan

CEO, Manhattan Crypto Capital

Managing Partner, Manhattan Global Partners

Manhattan Crypto Capital Disclaimer

This material is provided for informational, educational, and research purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for any security, digital asset, derivative, fund interest, or investment product. Any offer or solicitation may be made only through official offering documents, including applicable Confidential Private Placement Memorandums, subscription agreements, and related legal documentation, and only to qualified and eligible investors in jurisdictions where permitted by law.

Manhattan Crypto Capital and Manhattan Global Partners operate under applicable exemptions including, where relevant, SEC Regulation D Rule 506(c) and Regulation S. Investments discussed may involve substantial risk, including loss of principal, illiquidity, volatility, leverage risk, regulatory risk, and market uncertainty. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Forward-looking statements are inherently uncertain and subject to change without notice.

The content presented reflects quantitative research, market commentary, technical analysis, macroeconomic interpretation, and portfolio construction methodologies that may change based on market conditions. Nothing herein should be construed as legal, tax, accounting, or personalized investment advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult qualified professional advisors before making investment decisions.

Manhattan Crypto Capital, Manhattan Global Partners, and their affiliates may hold positions in the assets, securities, or investment vehicles discussed and may change such positions without notice. No representation or warranty is made regarding the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein.

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