Asset:  Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar Timeframe:  Weekly (Macro Cycle View) Vehicle Role:  Crypto Engine (Mandate Core) Fund Mandate:  Asymmetric Alpha + Cycle-Based Rotation Issue: December 27, 2025 1. Market Regime & Quant Score Market Regime:  Late-Rise → Early-Correction (Post-Greed Compression) Total Quant Regime Score:   74 / 100 Fear / Greed Quant State: Structural Greed Exhausted at ~$126k Fear is building, but not capitulation yet Interpretation: Bitcoin rejected the macro s

Issue:  December 19, 2025 Asset:  Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar (BTCUSD — Coinbase) Timeframe:  Daily (HTF bias applied) Vehicle Role:  Core Digital Reserve Asset Fund Mandate:  Long-only, cycle-based accumulation 1. Market Regime & Quant Score Weighted Quant Components (Daily, HTF-weighted): MAs alignment:  48% Price below fast MA and below declining structure; HTF trend under pressure. DMI trend strength:  78% Strong bearish directional dominance confirmed after rejection from the

Bitcoin’s price action in late 2025 shows a clear bearish trend, marked by persistent downward pressure and momentum divergence. This post explores the current market regime for BTCUSD, analyzing key technical indicators, institutional liquidity patterns, and risk management strategies. By understanding these factors, traders and investors can better navigate the challenges and opportunities in Bitcoin’s evolving landscape. Bitcoin price chart showing bearish trend and resist